Sunday, January 8, 2012

[Peninsula-Patriots] Fw: TWTW January 7, 2012

Patriots there is a load of information below on global warming. There is also information on the meeting that the Concerned Citizens of The Middle Peninsula is sponsoring on the 23rd of January at Cornerstone Fellowship Church plus many, many other articles.

"If a nation expects to be ignorant and expects what never was and never will be"      Thomas Jefferson

DeWitt Edwards

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Subject: TWTW January 7, 2012

TWTW January 7, 2012
The Week That Was: 2012-1-7 (January 7, 2012)
Brought to You by SEPP (
The Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

PLEASE NOTE: The complete TWTW, including the full text of the articles, can be downloaded in an easily printable form at this web site:
Please forward this Newsletter to those interested in Science and Environmental Policy. Thank you. Forward.

SEPP / VA-SEEE Forum: January 23, 7 pm Mathews County, VA, Cornerstone Fellowship Church, 2243 Buckley Hall Road, Cobbs Creek, Va. Speakers include SEPP President Fred Singer, Dr. Charles Battig, and SEPP Exec. VP Ken Haapala. Topics include: status of global warming science and the divergence between models and observations. Why global models, even if modified for regional conditions, are unsuitable for local and regional planning. Agenda 21 and how to contest UN and Federal control over local land use issues.
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Joyous News: Fred Singer will be traveling to the Southwest and West US to spread the joyous news that the NIPCC Reports are correct and the IPCC models do not conform to observations. Humanity has little to fear from the false claims of unprecedented and dangerous global warming. Although his schedule is not final, his stops include: Houston-Austin from Feb 6 to 8; Southern California from Feb 8 to 12, with a talk at Chapman University on Feb 9, additional meeting in San Diego from on February 13 & 14 and the key Sigma Xi lecture at the University of New Mexico on Feb 16.
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Quote of the Week:
"The care of human life and happiness, and not their destruction, is the first and only legitimate object of good government." --Thomas Jefferson, letter to The Republican Citizens of Washington County, Maryland, 1809 [Concept dating to Aristotle.]
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Number of the Week: $500 Million in any year
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By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

EPA Skinning the Cat: After cap-and-trade failed to pass the Senate controlled by his own party, President Obama famously stated there is more than one way to skin the cat. The cat, of course, is the American public and its use of energy. The preferred skinner is the EPA, which has launched a series of intensified regulations to drive up the cost of energy use to the public, emphasizing the consumption of electricity from coal fired utility plants. As described in prior TWTWs (e.g. July 9, Aug 6) , the EPA rule for cross-state emissions was one such example of skinning the cat that depended on double and triple counting of its benefits. The benefits largely came from reductions of emissions from soot, which are controlled by a totally separate set of regulations. The other set of supposed benefits are a reduction of "acidic gases", namely sulfur dioxide and nitrous oxides. The claim is that reducing these gases will reduce new cases of childhood asthma, yet the statistical relationship between these gases and asthma is the opposite of what EPA claims. These cross-state regulations are now tied up in court.

The latest EPA effort to skin the cat are the new Mercury and Air Toxics rules (Utility MACT) announced just before Christmas. These include the double and triple accounting as the prior rules but also include the supposed benefits of reduction in mercury. And herein is the tale of two islands.

As published in the Wall Street Journal, and elsewhere, Willie Soon analyzed the proposed mercury rules. Below is a brief summary of one point in the Soon study. Mercury is a naturally occurring metal, found in the earth, seas, and the atmosphere. For many years mercury was used in thermometers, oral, indoor, and outside. It is used in fluorescent light bulbs. Certain compounds of mercury are toxic to humans, but humans evolved certain defenses against it.

A study of the mercury level in the blood of residents of the Faroe Islands, in the Norwegian Sea between Scotland and Iceland, indicated that the children may suffer from impaired cognitive functions from their mothers eating large amounts of seafood and having a certain level of mercury in their blood as a result.

A study of the mercury level of the residents of the Seychelles Islands off the east coast of Africa, the Seychelles Children Development Study, found no such impaired cognitive functions even though the residents eat large amounts of sea food. Similarly, no impaired cognitive functions have been found in populations of other nations consuming large amounts of sea food except where toxins have been dumped into the local waters.

A scientific organization would have explored the difference between the eating habits of the residents of the Faroe Islands and the Seychelles Islands, and, perhaps, discovered that the residents of the Faroe Islands eat fish and whale meat and blubber where the residents of the Seychelles Islands eat fish but no whale meat and blubber. It turns out that whale meat and blubber are heavy in other toxins and have little selenium which binds to mercury and renders it largely non-toxic to humans.

The EPA did not perform a rigorous independent study of the science used in making its new rules. The EPA chose the Faroe Islands study to substantiate its pronouncements on acceptable mercury levels and ignored the Seychelles Islands study. Of course, Americans eat virtually no whale meat and blubber. Please see links under "EPA and other Regulators on the March." The complete Soon report can be found at:

Number of the Week: $500 Million in any year. In the report on the Endangerment Rule (ER) that greenhouse gas emissions endanger human health and welfare, the Office of Inspector General (OIG) of the EPA stated that a highly influential scientific assessment is one that could have a potential impact of more than $500 million in any year. The OIG found the EPA failed to meet the necessary scientific review required under the Data Quality Act for its Endangerment Rule. Estimates for the costs of the new Utility MACT rules range from $10 Billion up to $100 Billion. Yet, the EPA failed to perform a rigorous review of the science used to justify the rules.

Quote of the Week: Based on the view of Thomas Jefferson, it appears the EPA has lost its legitimate object.
Litigation Issues: The oral arguments for the SEPP / CEI et al, lawsuit against the EPA for its finding that carbon dioxide emissions endanger human health and welfare are scheduled for February 28 and 29 (the leap year date when things are turned around). The earliest decision will probably be mid-summer. No doubt, the losing parties will appeal to the Supreme Court.
Sea Ice: In his classic, Climate, History, and the Modern World, HH Lamb suggested that Arctic sea ice may undergo cyclical changes for reasons not understood. For the past several summers alarmists warn that the disappearing sea ice is proof of global warming, implying the cause is carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. According to the Danish Meteorological Institute, Centre for Ocean and Ice (DMI), since 1978 the trend has been a reduction in September sea ice extent with the lowest year being 2007. For the last half of 2011 the sea ice extent remained generally above of 2007.

According to the measurements taken by DMI since 1958, at or above 80 degrees north latitude, the summer temperatures have remained remarkably similar but recent winter temperatures have been warmer than in the past. The sea ice is not freezing as thick or extensively in the winter, leading to reductions in the extent in the summer. Further, satellite observations show that the extent of the multi-year sea ice is declining and shifting in location. One may be prompted to state this is the result of classic greenhouse warming an increase of the low temperatures in arid regions such as winters in the Arctic.

However, as with everything else concerning the earth's climate, it appears not to be that simple. This week an article was published in Nature that discusses changes in the circulation of the fresh water entering the Arctic Ocean from rivers in Russia. These waters appear to be flowing more towards the Pacific (counter-clockwise) than usual. The suggested cause is changes in the intensity of the Arctic Oscillation defined by the US National Snow and Ice Data Center as "opposing atmospheric pressure patterns in northern middle and high latitudes.

"The oscillation exhibits a "negative phase" with relatively high pressure over the polar region and low pressure at midlatitudes (about 45 degrees North), and a "positive phase" in which the pattern is reversed. In the positive phase, higher pressure at midlatitudes drives ocean storms farther north, and changes in the circulation pattern bring wetter weather to Alaska, Scotland and Scandinavia, as well as drier conditions to the western United States and the Mediterranean. In the positive phase, frigid winter air does not extend as far into the middle of North America as it would during the negative phase of the oscillation. This keeps much of the United States east of the Rocky Mountains warmer than normal, but leaves Greenland and Newfoundland colder than usual. Weather patterns in the negative phase are in general "opposite" to those of the positive phase, as illustrated below.

"Over most of the past century, the Arctic Oscillation alternated between its positive and negative phases. Starting in the 1970s, however, the oscillation has tended to stay in the positive phase, causing lower than normal arctic air pressure and higher than normal temperatures in much of the United States and northern Eurasia." [Boldface added.]
If this is not sufficiently complicated, one can add the study of "Solar activity and Svalbard temperatures" linked in the December 17 TWTW.
The strongest relationship appears to be in the winter when the sun is below the horizon.

These issues remain to be sorted out, but at this time one can safely say that there is much more to climate change than increasing CO2. Please see links under "Changing Sea Ice."
The Cart Before the Horse: Much has been written about the failures of companies that received loan guarantees from the Department of Energy (DOE). But little has been written about how ineptly the loan guarantee program was conducted. The Federal Government largely ignored critical, basic research and funded industries that needed a technology that was not yet developed. For example, breakthroughs in battery storage are needed before electric and hybrid automobiles become viable alternatives to the gasoline engine. Autos (electric, hybrid, natural gas) received $9.1 Billion in loan guarantees however an effective battery is yet to be developed.

To become viable on the grid, solar and wind generation needs to be competitive and reliable. Mass electricity storage is critically needed. DOE gave $30 Billion in loan guarantees to companies involved with solar manufacturing (PV panels), wind generation, solar generation (large scale plants). DOE $20 Million for grid level battery storage and $40 Million for energy storage (a project that went bankrupt) 500 times as much to applications than to the basic research on the technology needed to make the applications viable.

A Henry Ford would be appalled by such an impractical waste. Without mandates or subsidies the nation can expect many other bankruptcies in the future. Please see links under "Energy Issues."
SEPP Amplification and Correction: Last week we failed to attribute quote of the week regarding the electricity needed for electric cars largely comes from coal fired power plants [about 45%] to Thomas Sowell.
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For the numbered articles below please see this week's TWTW at:

The articles are at the end of the pdf.
1. Fake! Fake! Fake! Fake!
By S. Fred Singer, American Thinker, Jan 2, 2012

2. EPA Rules Causing Plant Closures
By Charles Battig, VA-SEEE, Letter, WSJ, Jan 5, 2012

3. American Heads in the Shale About China
Huge Chinese gas investments are flying under the radar of the U.S. Congress.
By Alisa Newman Hood, WSJ, Jan 5, 2012

4. Renewable Fuel Standards Formula For Global Poverty
Editorial, IBD, Jan 4, 2012

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Climategate Continued
Dr Phil, Confidential Agent: Re-visited
By Steve McIntyre, Climate Audit, Jan 3, 2012
[SEPP Comment: Contradicting . the claim in the New York Times that the team did not have time to respond to Freedom of Information requests, the team made various untrue statements to avoid disclosure of data.]

Person or Persons of Interest
Police Inquiry Prompts New Speculation on Who Leaked Climate-Change E-Mails
By Leslie Kaufman, NYT, Jan 1, 2012

Challenging the Orthodoxy
Scafetta: IPCC Warming Claim Is "Erroneous…IPCC Projections For The 21st Century Cannot Be Trusted"
By P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Jan 5, 2012 [H/t Marc Morano, Climate Depot]
[SEPP Comment: See a review of the paper under NIPCC reports below.]

Progress: Canadian Senate Listens to Global Warming Skeptics
Global warming orthodoxy gets challenged in a first-of-its-kind hearing.
By Tom Harris, PJ Media, Jan 2, 2012 [H/t Timothy Wise]
[SEPP Comment: Summary with links of testimony by four Canadian scientists to the Canadian Senate (which has little actual powers). The testimony of Ross McKitrick was linked in the Dec 17 TWTW.]

The World's Slowest Learners
By Donna Laframboise, NFC, Dec 31, 2011
[SEPP Comment: Hundreds of billions spent, 20 years wasted, to justify an assumption that was wrong: atmospheric carbon dioxide is the major cause of climate change.]

What Financial Meltdowns Teach Us About the IPCC
When I describe the weird world of climate science to people who are strangers to that world I know it sounds fantastical. But there are strong parallels with the recently destroyed economies of Iceland, Greece, and Ireland.
By Donna Laframboise, NFC, Jan 5, 2012

Defending the Orthodoxy
Report says global climate deal hinges on Obama reelection
Prospects for striking a binding global climate deal by 2015 are probably toast if President Obama loses in November.
By Ben Geman, The Hill, Jan 5, 2012

Questioning the Orthodoxy
U.S. Taxpayers Cover Nearly Half the Cost of U.N.'s Global Warming Panel
By Elizabeth Harrington, CNS News, Jan 3, 2012
[SEPP Comment: It is good to see some news services are realizing the IPCC depends on US funding. The $31 million does not include the $107 Billion the GAO reported went to climate initiatives, including $31 Billion to climate science alone from 1993 to 2010. See TWTW June 25, 2011, Oct 1, 2011, and Dec 31, 2011.]

Comments On The Scientifically Flawed EOS Article "What Do U.S. Students Know About Climate Change.
By Roger Pielke, Sr, Pielke Climate Science, Jan 5, 2012

Questioning European Green
Britain's Shift In Green Rhetoric Signals End Of Green Consensus
"There is a clear disintegration of the green consensus," says Benny Peiser, director of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, a critic of many climate policies.
By Pilita Clark and Sylvia Pfeifer, Financial Times, Jan 4, 2012

New year, same issues
By Martin Livermore, Scientific Alliance, Jan 6, 2012
[SEPP Comment: Possible decline of the influence environmental organizations have on energy issues.]

Solar industry faces months of 'paralysis'
By Staff Writers, SPX, Jan 05, 2012
[SEPP Comment: "One of the brightest sectors in the UK economy" seeks a "sustainable new subsidy level." Bright for whom?]

Problems within the Orthodoxy
EU grows renewable-supplied energy share
By Staff Writers, UPI, Jan 4, 2012

Seeking a Common Ground
NSF's New Research Funding Solicitation "Decadal and Regional Climate Prediction Using Earth System Models" A Mix Of Scientifically Robust And Flawed Goals
By Roger Pielke, Sr, Pielke Climate Science, Jan 2, 2012

Beyond smoke and mirrors: the middle ground
By Judith Curry, Climate Etc, Jan 2, 2012
[SEPP Comment: Discussion of a new book with the above title by Stanford Physicist and Nobel Laureate Burton Richter which comes to conclusions similar to those of Robert Bryce in Power Hungry. Much of the discussion of wind and solar is pure promotion. The holy grail for wind and solar is grid scale storage to which SEPP would add transmission to the east coast. Until that is accomplished, using coal, natural gas, then nuclear seem to be the answer.]

Communicating Better to the Public Exaggerate, or be Vague?
Still Searching for Republicans With Climate Concerns
By Andrew Revkin, Dot Earth, Jan 5, 2012
[SEPP Comment: A classic example of Petitio Principii other than recognizing climate change is normal and natural, and humans influence local and regional climate, what are science-based statements on climate? Certainly statements based on the products of unverified numerical models, that failed to project the current trend of no warming, are not science-based. Appealing to the questionable authority of the IPCC is not science-based.]

Communicating Better to the Public Make things up.
A curiosity from Slingo's paper
Here's something else from Julia Slingo's briefing to central government that caught my eye:
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Jan 5, 2012 [H/t GWPF]

Models v. Observations
Computers Incapable of Modeling Climate: Billions Wasted To Perpetuate Deception
By Tim Ball, His Blog, Jan 3, 2012
It doesn't matter how big or fast the computer is the data to build or test it doesn't exist.

Changing Weather
Don't put all your eggs in one basket
By Staff Writers, SPX, Jan 03, 2012

Recommended Reading "Hurricanes and Global Warming" By Christopher W. Landsea
By Roger Pielke, Sr, Pielke Climate Science, Jan 3, 2012

Changing Climate
Antarctic Temperature Trends
By Patrick Michaels, World Climate Report, Jan 3, 2012
[SEPP Comment: The claimed Antarctic warming is not general to the continent.]

Changing Seas
Shock News : Sea Level Almost As High As Eight Years Ago
By Steve Goddard, Real Science, Dec 30, 2011 [H/t Anthony Watts, WUWT]
[SEPP Comment: But can one draw an immediate trend to the saw-tooth pattern?]

Changing Sea Ice
Current Sea Ice extent
By Staff Writers, DMI, Jan 3, 2012
[SEPP Comment: The link goes to both Arctic sea ice and Arctic temperatures.]

Russian river water unexpected culprit behind Arctic freshening
By Staff Writers, SPX, Jan 05, 2012

Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine
Climate change 'will boost British farmers'
Climate change will be good for British farming, according to Caroline Spelman, the Environment Secretary, with exotic crops such as melons already thriving.
By Staff Writers, Telegraph, UK, Jan 6, 2012 [H/t GWPF]

Litigation Issues
Federal Court Blocks Implementation of CSAPR
By Staff Writers, POWERnews, Jan 4, 2012

Subsidies and Mandates Forever
Energy fact of the week: Exporting ethanol?
By Steven F. Hayward, The American, Dec 27, 2011

A new year in ethanol
By M.S. The Economist, Dec 31, 2011 [H/t Catherine French]
[SEPP Comment: The subsidy ends but the mandates continue.]

EPA and other Regulators on the March
MILLOY: EPA's statistics not science, but nonsense
Next to China's, agency's air quality numbers don't add up
By Steve Milloy, Washington Times, Jan 5, 2012
[SEPP Comment: See study below.]

Fine Particulate Matter Constituents and Cardiopulmonary Mortality in a Heavily Polluted Chinese City
By Junji Cao, Hongmei Xu, Qun Xu, Bingheng Chen, Haidong Kan, Environmental Health Perspectives, Jan 3, 2012

Beware EPA Bearing Gifts
By James H. Rust, Somewhat Reasonable, Jan 5, 2012

AES New York Subsidiary Declares Bankruptcy on Coal Woes
By Staff Writers, POWERnews, Dec 4, 2012

A Coal-Fired Plant That Is Eager for U.S. Rules
By Matthew Wald, NYT, Jan 5, 2012
[SEPP Comments: Utilities with state mandates desire all utilities have such mandates.]

Energy Issues
Energy fact of the week: Who got the money?
By Steven F. Hayward, The American, Dec 22, 2011
[SEPP Comment: Battery and energy storage are largely ignored and transmission gets little.]

PetroChina seals Canadian oil sands deal
By Staff Writers,UPI, Jan 4, 2012

DOI Approves Renewable Projects in Calif., Ore.
By Staff Writers, POWERnews, Jan 4, 2011
[SEPP Comment: A great display of preference bureaucracy. Imagine if the transmission lines involved coal fired plants.]

Oil and Natural Gas the Future or the Past?
Shale Storm
By Andrew Michta, American Interest, Jan 2012 [H/t Timothy Wise]

Administration's Control of Oil and Gas
Obama's War on U.S. Energy
By Alan Caruba, Warning Signs, Jan 1, 2012

Latin oil supplies for U.S. start to dry up
Canadian pipeline can fill gap
By Patrice Hill, Washington Times, Jan 2, 2012
[SEPP Comment: US energy starvation is the goal of the environmentalists including President Obama.]

The Keystone XL pipelinea line in the sand for America's future
By Marita Noon, Townhall, Jan 1, 2012

Nuclear Energy and Fears
Fault lines in Japanese nuclear regime
By Staff Writers, WNN, Dec 30. 2011
[SEPP Comment: One of the lessons that is being poorly learned about Fukushima is the scope of the infrastructure wipe-out from the tsunami was far beyond what was planned. More than the earthquake, the tsunami created the nuclear disaster.]

Alternative, Green ("Clean") Energy
On-Grid Solar: An Industry in Plight (Government-dependence perils)
By David Bergeron, Master Resource, Jan 6, 2012
The truth is even if China could sell panels to installers for 1¢/watt, the systems would still be too expensive. Even with free PV, the cost of installation, mounting structure, inverters, wiring, etc. make the systems financially unsustainable.
[SEPP Comment: From the president of a company that supplies solar panels for special uses world-wide.]

2012 Global Solar Market Outlook
By Staff Writers, SPX, Jan 05, 2012
[SEPP Comment: As subsidies decline, a big shake out in the industry.]

Storehouses for Solar Energy Can Step In When the Sun Goes Down
By Matthew Wald, NYT, Jan 2, 2012

A Honda Civic Lesson
All hybrid makers are now vulnerable to lawsuits for "false advertising."
[SEPP Comment: EPA promotion and mileage figures will not protect them."

Taxpayers' Leaf: Four Recharging Stops Needed to Go 180 Miles
By Paul Chesser, NLPC, Jan 3, 2012

California Dreaming
Advisory group recommends withholding billions for high-speed rail
By Will Reisman, SF Examiner, Jan 4, 2012

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by NIPCC
For a full list of articles see

Empirical Harmonic Models Project "Sunnier" Climate Scenarios Ahead
Reference: Scafetta, N. 2012. Testing an astronomically based decadal-scale empirical harmonic climate model versus the IPCC (2007) general circulation models. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar Terrestrial Physics doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2011.12.005.

Comparing Earth's Sea-Level and Energy Budgets
Reference: Church, J.A., White, N.J., Konikow, L.F., Domingues, C.M., Cogley, J.G., Rignot, E., Gregory, J.M., van den Broeke, M.R., Monaghan, A.J. and Velicogna, I. 2011. Revisiting the earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008. Geophysical Research Letters 38: 10.1029/2011GL048794.

ENSO Variability Over the Past Millennium
Reference: Khider, D., Stott, L.D., Emile-Geay, J., Thunell, R. and Hammond, D.E. 2011. Assessing El NiƱo Southern Oscillation variability during the past millennium. Paleoceanography 26: 10.1029/2011PA002139.

Nearly Half a Millennium of Antarctic Temperatures
Reference: Thamban, M., Laluraj, C.M., Naik, S.S. and Chaturvedi, A. 2011. Reconstruction of Antarctic climate change using ice core proxy records from coastal Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica. Journal of the Geological Society of India 78: 19-29.

Other Scientific News
Rare Moon mineral found in Australia
By Staff Writer, AFP, Jan 5, 2012
[SEPP Comment: More fodder for the alien visitors crowd.]

Other News that May Be of Interest
Happy New Leap Year 2012
The most urgent challenge facing mankind is that every 3,200 years, we move Spring by one day.
By Lubos Motl, The Reference Frame, Jan 1, 2012
[SEPP Comment: A humble petition to the UN to address a far more challenging problem than the International Year of Sustainable Energy for All.]

Another Chronic Fatigue Study Retracted
After Science pulls the original article linking a mouse virus to the chronic fatigue syndrome, PNAS follows suit, yanking the only other study supporting the link.
By Bob Grant, The Scientist, Jan 3, 2012 [H/t Catherine French]

How one man got away with mass fraud by saying 'trust me, it's science'
By Joseph Brean, National Post, Dec 30, 2011

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Ethical Analysis of the Climate Change Disinformation Campaign: Introduction to A Series.
By Donald Brown, Climate Ethics, Penn State, Jan 3, 2011 [H/t Marc Morano, Climate Depot]

The 2011 Climate B.S.* of the Year Awards
[*B.S. means "Bad Science." What did you think it meant?]
By Peter Gleick, Forbes, Jan 5, 2012 [H/t Joe Best]

PLEASE NOTE: The complete TWTW, including the full text of the numbered articles, can be downloaded in an easily printable form at this web site:
Please forward this Newsletter to those interested in Science and Environmental Policy. Thank you. Forward.

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